Wednesday, October 7, 2009

Time to start talking playoffs...high school football playoffs (not baseball)

Now that the Tigers have lost and I have nothing else to occupy my mind, at least the sports half of it, I’ve decided to shift my focus to the upcoming high school football post-season.
I know the question on most people’s minds right now, at least if you are fans of Lakers and Ubly, is what division will my school end up in.
Here is a breakdown of where these teams stand heading into this week’s action. Aa reminder, 256 teams makes the playoffs with those squads being broken down into eight, 32 team divisions; six wins in a nine game schedule automatically qualify a team for the playoffs or five wins in an eight game schedule. If there is an incomplete field, 5-4 and 4-4 teams can make it in. They are chosen equally by class (A, B, C & D) and are entered into the pool of teams, then the teams are split into eight divisions on 32 teams each.
Here are some numbers of where things stand…
· heading into this week, 149 teams currently have five or more wins, and
· there are 253 teams that have four wins or more.
So what do those numbers actually mean in terms of what are going to be the only two playoff teams from Huron County? Well good things for Ubly and not-so good things for Lakers in terms of what division the teams will end up in.
First, let’s start with Ubly…
In the current scenario they are dropping to division 8 and I can’t see a scenario at this point where they would move up. I’ve currently figured the additional qualifiers likely to be:
· Inkster 3-2 (Class A) 55.300 1,133
· Zeeland West (Class B) 750 47.667
· Muskegon Catholic Central (Class D) 217 44.333
Of those teams, only MCC is smaller than Ubly. The next additional qualifier would have to come from Class C and I believe would be Detroit Loyola, who is a bigger school then Ubly.
The Bearcats are currently the second biggest D8 school and even though they are close to being a division 7, for every qualifier that would go below them (small C’s and D’s) and push them up towards 7, there would be just as many A & B schools pushing them back down.
The top 10 3-3 teams (one is actually 3-2) by playoff points are in A & B so they will always be the first teams selected after each class is given an additional qualifier of sorts.
The real question becomes, despite the perception, is it better for Ubly to be in D7 or D8? True you avoid Traverse City St. Francis in D8, but you still have Class C powerhouses like Mendon to deal with and perennial state champ MCC.
But it isn’t a give me that MCC qualifies as they have a game with Inkster this week and North Muskegon in week 8, who is currently 5-1. That would be a big relief.
As for the Lakers, they are firmly in D6 as the 28th team in that 32 team field, with little chance of dropping down. Reese on the other hand is #31 in D6 and could b bumped down if the field turns out to be less than 253 and more teams that don’t make it are below them.
Here are the smallest teams in each division, meaning they are the dividing lines between divisions:
Warren DeLesalle D1
Lapeer West D2
Ogemaw Heights D3
Almont D4
Negaunee D5
Union City D6Rudyard D7
Manistee Catholic Central – smallest D8
At 66.667 points and climbing, Ubly has the second most points in D8 behind Mendon (68.00).
In D6, Lakers have 54 points and Reese 61.667. The most points of a team in D6 is Morley Stanwood with 84.

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